Crypto Market Pulse - August 11, 2025

Crypto Market Pulse - August 11, 2025
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Crypto Market Pulse

LAST WEEK RECAP:

Last week’s huge selloff, triggered by the NFP numbers, tariff news, and the hawkish Fed meeting, appears to have been an overextended selloff driven by an overextended rally from the weeks before. In many ways, it was a necessary technical retracement and a flushing of extended long positions.

Stock market rebounds sharply, with the S&P 500 climbing 3% to 6,405, nearing its all-time high of 6,442. Gains driven by Apple’s $600B US investment plan, Trump’s Fed board pick Stephen Miran, and a new executive order allowing private 401(k) investments, alongside a technical recovery from last week’s selloff.

As it stands, the market is well on its way to reversing most of the selloff. The S&P 500 is up 3%, closing the week at 6,405 from the lows of 6,217—just short of the ATH at 6,442. While there are some bullish drivers—Apple announcing plans to spend $600 billion over 4 years in the US, Trump’s pick of White House economist Stephen Miran to temporarily fill a vacant seat on the Fed’s Board of Governors, and the executive order signed by President Trump to allow private investments in 401(k)s—it is also likely a technical recovery of last week’s overextended single-day move.

In the crypto world, however, the bullish environment that has not abated finally had room to breathe as broader risk assets recovered. ETH treasury companies continue to make outsized purchases—Tom Lee’s Bitmine Immersion Technologies becoming the largest holder of ETH, with Sharplink Gaming now second, last raising another $200m in a direct offering to make further purchases.

The true catalyst that drove a widespread bullish impulse came from the White House itself—Trump signed an executive order to allow crypto and real estate investments in retirement plans.

Crypto markets rally as Bitcoin jumps from 112K to 121–122K, Ethereum breaks past 4K resistance to over 4.3K with a 28% surge, and Total3 market cap rises from $925B to $1.05T.

Crypto markets surged: BTC rallied from its weekly lows of 112k to 121/122k. ETH finally broke out of the 4k resistance level, surpassing the highs of 2024—reaching past 4.3k and surging over 28%. Total3 rallied from 925B to 1.05T.

Positive equity sentiment supports further crypto gains, with regulatory momentum, structural treasury demand, and potential rate cuts favoring a buy-the-dip approach.

If equities keep the tone constructive, crypto has every reason to keep pressing highs. Regulatory tailwinds, structural treasury bids, and the looming rate cut backdrop all argue for buy-the-dip discipline over top-ticking.

  • US ISM Services PMI 50.1 vs. 51.5 expected.
  • Bank of England cuts rates to 4% as expected (previously 4.25%).
  • Canada Unemployment Rate 6.9% vs. 7% expected.
  • President Trump signs an executive order allowing crypto and alternative assets in retirement plans.

BTC WEEKLY VIEW

BTC chart | Kairon Labs Crypto Market Pulse - August 11, 2025

BTC is trading near $121.9K, reclaiming upside momentum after consolidating above the 21-day SMA (~$117K). Price action is testing previous highs, with a solid candle body unlike the previous high caused by a daily wick- a clean breakout potentially opening room toward $125K–$127K. The prevailing uptrend remains intact, supported by higher lows since April, but extended moves could trigger short-term profit-taking. Support is seen at $117K, with deeper downside risk only if the price loses the $112K area.

ETH WEEKLY VIEW

ETH chart | Kairon Labs Crypto Market Pulse - August 11, 2025

Ethereum has broken decisively above the key resistance zone around $4,000, a level that has historically acted as a multi-year resistance level. This breakout is significant as it represents the first sustained move above this zone since the 2021 cycle highs.

The weekly candle shows strong bullish momentum with minimal upper wick, indicating that buyers remain in control. Volume has picked up notably over the past several weeks, confirming conviction behind the move. The next major resistance is near the all-time high region around $4,880, after which price discovery territory opens.

From a structural perspective, ETH has completed a multi-year consolidation pattern between roughly $1,000 and $4,000. As long as price holds above the $4,000–$4,050 breakout zone, the bias remains firmly bullish, with 3,825 to 4000 levels acting as major resistance/support level flips for a higher low structure. Failure to hold this area could result in a retest of the $3,500–$3,600 range.

ETH/BTC

ETH/BTC chart | Kairon Labs Crypto Market Pulse - August 11, 2025

ETH/BTC is testing a key multi-year resistance level.

TOTAL3 USD MARKET STRENGTH

TOTAL3 chart | Kairon Labs Crypto Market Pulse - August 11, 2025

The total crypto market cap, excluding BTC and ETH, has broken out above a year-to-date descending trendline, signaling a shift in momentum towards altcoins. This breakout follows a successful retest of the $950B–$1T support zone, with price now consolidating just above $1.05T. The move suggests renewed risk appetite in the broader altcoin space, potentially setting the stage for a push towards the $1.2T–$1.25T resistance zone seen during the Q1 2025 highs, provided the breakout level holds.

MARKET LEVERAGE RATIO

Market Leverage Ratio | Kairon Labs Crypto Market Pulse - August 11, 2025

The market leverage ratio has pushed to 16.09, reclaiming and testing the year-to-date highs since July. This upswing signals an increasing capital rotation from stablecoins into the broader crypto market, suggesting growing investor confidence and risk-on sentiment. A decisive breakout above this level would reinforce bullish market conditions, while rejection could hint at a short-term cooling in momentum.

SUMMARY

  • Macro Rebound: Last week’s sharp selloff in equities was an overextended pullback; the S&P 500 rebounded 3% to 6,405, aided by bullish headlines (Apple’s $600B US investment plan, Fed board appointment, and 401(k) reform), but largely a technical recovery.
  • Crypto Catalysts: Broader market stabilization allowed crypto’s bullish trend to shine, with large ETH treasury purchases from Bitmine Immersion Technologies and Sharplink Gaming.
  • Policy Boost: Trump’s executive order allowing crypto and real estate in retirement plans sparked a sharp rally — BTC to ~121k, ETH above 4.3k (new yearly high), and Total3 to 1.05T.

DISCLAIMER:

The information in this report is for information purposes only and is not to be construed as investment or financial advice. All information contained herein is not a solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell digital assets or other financial products.

This post was prepared by Kairon Labs Traders Patrick Li, Travis Su, and Kenny Lee.

Edited by: Shirley Castro

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